Market Price

Saturday, November 19, 2016

2016 : Indian companies under Asia 200 best under billion

How demonetisation impacts various sectors

Banking 


The brokerage house says demonetisation will lead to a 5 percent pickup in deposit growth (9-10 percent in near term) and CASA ratios expanding 200 bps over 12 months; lower yields enhancing bond gains; a growth slowdown, mainly in retail, with the impact on private banks neutralising deposit gains; and a slight, transient NPL pick-up. More near-term benefits are likely for public sector banks and neutral for private banks. Deutsche raised earnings estimates by 7-21 percent for PSBs (FY18), with marginal changes for private banks and also raised target prices for PSBs. Top picks are 

SBI
HDFC Bank
Yes Bank
IndusInd Bank   


Oil & gas 

The demonetization of high denomination currency should only have a marginal impact on the Indian oil & gas sector, the brokerage house says. It sees a marginally adverse medium-term impact on sales of petroleum products. It reiterated its preference for refiners ( 

HPCL
BPCL   
IOC   ) in the oil sector and 

Petronet LNG   among the gas utilities.


Metal & mining 

Deutsche expects adverse impact on property investment, automobile, and white goods demand in the near term, which will likely affect 2HFY17 earnings, especially for steel. The earnings impact for non-ferrous should be moderate, as pricing is LME linked and exposure to these segments is low, it says. It cut FY17 earnings for India steel by 12-152 percent, cut target prices by 1-24 percent, and reiterated preference for non-ferrous.


Pharma 

The brokerage house believes sentiment will remain positive for companies that have lower exposure to Indian sales. It says relaxed norms for retail would limit the impact and expects Indian sales growth to normalise by Q4FY17. 


Utilities & industrials 

Demonetisation is unlikely to have any direct impact on the power utilities and industrials sectors. 


NBFCs

For NBFCs (ex-housing finance companies - HFCs), the near-term impact of demonetisation will be on collections, as a significant component of the same happens in cash, the brokerage house says, adding a lack of cash in the economy is also likely to affect near term loan demand. For the HFCs, collection is all via non-cash channels, but a likely property price correction, on lower unaccounted cash, could affect loan demand for the HFCs. Hence, Deutsche lowered FY17 earnings by 4-11 percent and target prices by 3-20 percent. However, as a consequence of this scheme, system liquidity will rise, and inflation and interest rates will fall, which should lead to lower borrowing costs for the NBFCs in FY18, it says. Top picks are 

Shriram Transport Finance
HDFC   .


source - http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/check-out-how-demonetisation-impacts-various-sectors_7990101.html

Thursday, October 20, 2016

Oct 2016




COSYN Ltd
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